Modeling Socio-technological-economic Futures and Their Environmental Implications   

LecturerProf. Stefan Vögele
TU Bergakademie Freiberg / Forschungszentrum Jülich

Dr. Petra Zapp
Forschungszentrum Jülich

Dr. Christina Wulf
Forschungszentrum Jülich
DateDecember 10 & 11, 2026
9:30 am – 12:00 pm and 1:00 pm – 3:00 pm
Room/AddressTU Bergakademie Freiberg, Schloßplatzquartier, Meeting Room of the Dean’s Office
Seminar contentThe seminar is designed to help participants understand how scenarios can be developed and interpreted, and what conclusions can be drawn from them regarding the socio-ecological impacts of individual production processes.
The workshop consists of two parts:

Part 1 — Assessment of Socio-economic Futures. You will receive an introduction to the fundamentals of scenario planning and evaluation. In particular, we will provide you with insights into the purpose of scenarios and their use in informing policy recommendations. You will gain insights into the application of Cross-Impact Balance (CIB) approaches. Using an example that focuses on the interplay between natural hazards and socioeconomic changes, you will learn about the advances and limitations of socioeconomic modeling.

Part 2 — Prospective Social Life Cycle Assessment (S-LCA). This part of the workshop focuses on the social and environmental impacts of products manufactured using future technologies and under future conditions. Using selected examples, you will learn how to evaluate products based on socio-environmental assessments and what the advantages and disadvantages of extended LCA approaches are.
PrerequisitesNone.
CertificateDoctoral candidates from the Faculty of Business and Economics, TU Dresden can earn a certificate according to § 9 of the Ph.D. doctoral regulations (PromO 2018):
Doctoral candidates of Business Administration: § 9 (1) Nr. 5 or 6
Doctoral candidates of Business Information Systems: § 9 (1) Nr. 6
Doctoral candidates of Economics: § 9 (1) Nr. 6

Doctoral candidates from other universities can earn a certificate as well.
Assignment(1) Attend the class
(2) Participate in class and group discussions
(3) Consider implications of the assessments of futures for your dissertation project
RegistrationParticipation is limited (max. 15). 
To register send an e-mail to Dr. Uta Schwarz: uta.schwarz@tu-dresden.de
Phone: +49 351 463-33141

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